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Constituency Muslim Population (2001) Muslim Population as % of total Incumbent MP’s margin of victory Muslim voter estimate Incumbent MP
Croydon Central 4,416 3.84 75 1,881 Pelling, A.J.
Clwyd West 144 0.21 133 75 Jones, D.I.
Guildford 967 0.97 347 499 Milton, A.F. Ms.
Shipley 3,057 3.44 422 1,639 Davies, P.A.
Reading East 4,632 4.54 475 1,994 Wilson, R.
Hornchurch 563 0.73 480 280 Brokenshire, J.P.
Hemel Hempstead 1,520 1.59 499 749 Penning, M.A.
Gravesham 763 0.8 654 360 Holloway, A.J.H.
Wellingborough 735 0.7 687 371 Bone, P.W.
Harwich 245 0.24 920 121 Carswell, J.D.W.
Eastbourne 894 0.92 1,124 444 Waterson, N.C.
Scarborough and Whitby 231 0.24 1,245 114 Goodwill, R.
St. Albans 3,083 3.52 1,361 1,600 Main, A.M. Ms.
Ilford North 5,818 6.36 1,653 2,734 Scott, L.
North East Milton Keynes 1,824 1.81 1,665 907 Lancaster, J.M.
Enfield; Southgate 6,910 7.94 1,747 3,348 Burrowes, D.J.B.
Putney 3,721 4.58 1,766 1,675 Greening, J. Ms.
Wimbledon 4,720 5.1 2,301 2,210 Hammond, S.W.
Peterborough 8,290 8.72 2,740 3,589 Jackson, S.J.
Kettering 435 0.43 3,301 238 Hollobone, P.T.
Lancaster and Wyre 673 0.68 4,171 353 Wallace, R.B.L.
Northampton South 2,104 1.87 4,419 1,017 Binley, B.A.R.
Hammersmith and Fulham 7,103 5.85 5,029 2,883 Hands, G.W.
Welwyn Hatfield 1,055 1.14 5,946 510 Shapps, G.V.
Wycombe 10,001 9.85 7,051 4,380 Goodman, P.A.C.
Cities of London and Westminster 10,242 9.29 8,095 3,389 Field, M.C.

Tory-marginals

 

The histogram above indicates the Muslim voter estimate (blue) contrasted with the incumbent MP’s margin of victory (purple) in marginal Tory Party seats. It is based on analysis of 26 constituencies.