Dr Omar Khan

Omar Khan: Analysing 2015 General Election results

Runnymede Director Dr Omar Khan explains the different ways black and minority ethnic (BME) groups vote: …

First is that while the Labour party may have increased its BME share, this is mainly because of the Liberal Democrat decline. While in other areas the Conservatives were the main beneficiaries of the Liberal Democrat collapse, in seats with large BME populations, the vote appears to have turned more to Labour, but it appears unlikely that many BME voters who supported the Conservatives in 2010 transferred their allegiance to Labour in 2015.

Second is that in some areas, the Conservatives did hold on to and perhaps increase their BME vote share. Although they lost five of their nine most diverse seats, they held on to the others, including, impressively, Harrow East and Croydon Central, as well as in Hendon and Finchley and Golders Green. In these London constituencies, the standing Conservative MPs increased their vote share, as they did in their next most diverse seats. There are key lessons for the Conservatives (and indeed Labour) in these seats, although in Ilford North, Ealing Central and Acton and Brentford and Isleworth, Labour increased their vote share to take some of their few seats from the Conservatives, despite these being notionally further down their target list in terms of the size of the 2010 majority. click here.